The semi-annual Survivor finale arrives tonight, and I couldn’t be more stoked.  It sucks that they have to cram in so much in one night with 6 players still left in the game, but that seems to be the norm the last few seasons.  Here’s where everyone stands heading into the finale:

Sarah has one more advantage:  immunity for herself at the next tribal.

Tai has two hidden immunity idols he still has yet to play, and he can only play them at the next two tribals.

Troyzan has one hidden immunity idol left to play.

Brad has no advantages, but a strong ally in Troyzan, a semi-strong ally in Aubrey, and a wild card ally in Tai.

Aubrey seems to be in good with Brad and Troyzan as of right now, but that’s about it.

Cirie lost her main ally in Michaela, and exposed herself last tribal with Sarah’s advantage.

Assuming Sarah is still not trusting of Cirie, here’s what I see happening:

At final 6, Sarah plays her immunity advantage, which causes Tai to play one of his idols, which then causes Troyzan to play his for security.  This leaves Brad, Cirie, and Aubrey as the only vulnerable ones.  But Brad wins immunity, and votes go to Tai, Sarah, and Aubrey, sending Aubrey home.

At final 5, Troyzan wins immunity, Tai plays his last idol, leaving only Sarah, Brad, and Cirie vulnerable.  Cirie goes home after Tai’s votes get cancelled out.

At final 4, Tai wins immunity, and everyone votes out Brad.

Final 3 ends up being Sarah, Tai, and Troyzan.  Sarah wins 8-2-0.  And she deserves it.